Update on the South African Deciduous Fruit Supply and Demand

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Apple production is forecasted to increase by two percent to 980,000 MT in the 2016/17 MY, based on the increase in area planted, new plantings coming into full production and normal weather conditions.

Post forecasts that South African apple exports will increase by about four percent to 550,000 MT in the 2016/17 MY, based on the available production and the weak rand exchange rate.

Post forecasts that South African pear production will increase by two percent to 440,000 MT in the 2016/17 MY based on the increase in area planted, young orchards coming into full production and normal weather conditions.

Post forecasts that South African pear exports will increase by four percent to 260,000 MT in the 2016/17 MY based on the increase in production and the weak rand. Post forecasts that South African table grape production will decrease by about two percent to 280,000 MT in the 2016/17 MY based on the prevailing dry and hot weather conditions that could result in smaller grape sizes. Post forecasts that exports will decrease by two percent to 253,600 MT in the 2016/17 MY based on the decrease in production.

The domestic consumption of apples, pears and table grapes are forecasted to remain flat in the 2016/17 MY based on the available production and the slow economic growth prospects in South Africa.

South Africa is a net exporter of deciduous fruits, and only imports small quantities to fulfill a niche market or to satisfy domestic demand when supply is limited. 

Authors: 
Wellington Sikuka
Publisher: 
USDA GAIN
Year: 
2016