Kansas Wheat Yield Outlook for 2018

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As of March 5, 2018, wheat in the state was rated as 15% very poor, 35% poor, 37% fair, 12% good, and 1% excellent. Is this an indication
that we are going to have poor wheat yields? Predicting yields for wheat can be difficult as the crop often does better than it looks in the field and can improve quickly with timely rains. Still, the poor current condition of the crop has to have producers anxious about final yields. This article examines the relationship between crop condition and final yield in an effort to provide some guidance about what final yields producers might realisticly expect.

Gregory Ibendahl
Kansas State University Department of Agricultural Economics